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Randi Rhodes Message Board > Main Forums > Focused Interests > VICTORY 2008
Randys
doesnt it still take you back to see that many people voting for lies/ignorance/corruption against obama?

makes me shake my head and wonder if we deserve anything better

but, you wanted this to be a positive and happy thread, therefore


groovy.gif nana.gif nana.gif thumbsup.gif yipee.gif
Kane
I know it's only a poll...

Obama Grabs The Lead In Florida
...
The numbers: Obama 49%, McCain 46%, with a ±3.2% margin of error. Three weeks ago, PPP gave McCain a lead of 50%-45%, which was about in line with other polls from the time.

...
http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmem...e_lead_in_f.php

I know it's only a poll...

Second Poll Puts Obama Up -- In North Carolina!

A second poll is now saying that Barack Obama is ahead in North Carolina, a state that hasn't voted Democratic since Jimmy Carter ran as the South's favorite son in 1976.

The new numbers from Public Policy Polling (D): Obama 47%, McCain 45%, with a ±3% margin of error. This comes on top of a Rasmussen poll from last week, which had Obama up 49%-47%, with a ±4.5% margin of error.

...
http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmem...ama_up_in_n.php

I know it's only a poll...

Two campaigns moving in different directions: It's a beautiful thing.
http://www.pollster.com/polls/us/08-us-pres-ge-mvo.php


I know, it's only f-ing polls, but I like it. yipee.gif

Laura
QUOTE (Randys @ Sep 30 2008, 12:58 PM) *
doesnt it still take you back to see that many people voting for lies/ignorance/corruption against obama?

makes me shake my head and wonder if we deserve anything better

but, you wanted this to be a positive and happy thread, therefore


groovy.gif nana.gif nana.gif thumbsup.gif yipee.gif


Why, thank you! laugh.gif
Laura
QUOTE (Kane @ Sep 30 2008, 01:16 PM) *
I know it's only a poll...

Obama Grabs The Lead In Florida
...
The numbers: Obama 49%, McCain 46%, with a ±3.2% margin of error. Three weeks ago, PPP gave McCain a lead of 50%-45%, which was about in line with other polls from the time.

...
http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmem...e_lead_in_f.php

I know it's only a poll...

Second Poll Puts Obama Up -- In North Carolina!

A second poll is now saying that Barack Obama is ahead in North Carolina, a state that hasn't voted Democratic since Jimmy Carter ran as the South's favorite son in 1976.

The new numbers from Public Policy Polling (D): Obama 47%, McCain 45%, with a ±3% margin of error. This comes on top of a Rasmussen poll from last week, which had Obama up 49%-47%, with a ±4.5% margin of error.

...
http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmem...ama_up_in_n.php

I know it's only a poll...

Two campaigns moving in different directions: It's a beautiful thing.
http://www.pollster.com/polls/us/08-us-pres-ge-mvo.php


I know, it's only f-ing polls, but I like it. yipee.gif


biggrin.gif laugh.gif cool.gif thumbsup.gif
NamelessGenXer
I'm sticking with the Sports Book Guys... http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/ Today's Snapshot of Electoral Projection 329-209
shoeshoe
QUOTE (Laura @ Sep 30 2008, 07:14 AM) *

Intrade, the most reliable metric in my opinion, now shows Obama has fully recovered from the recent Palin bounce to pre-Palin levels (almost 30 points ahead of McCain):

http://www.intrade.com/jsp/intrade/trading...selConID=409933

Obama has come back strong, and now leads in all available metrics: national polls, electoral college, favorability, Intrade:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/

Personally, I factor in a five point advantage for McCain due to Republican election fraud that is sure to give him a built-in advantage in November (the influence racism and lack of cell phone polling roughly canceling each other out in these metrics).

So, if I'm right, Obama is actually just .1% ahead of McCain at present.

Right now, RealClearPolitics poll averages show Obama ahead by 5.1%. When polls show Obama 10 points ahead of McCain, then I'll be breathing a lot easier, but not now.
Seeker1
QUOTE (Kane @ Sep 30 2008, 01:16 PM) *
I know, it's only f-ing polls, but I like it. yipee.gif


Wow ... electoral-vote has Florida in true toss-up territory.

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

Still amazed that OH and NV are "light pink" tho.

Even if McCain gets all the ties - still can't cross the 270 threshold.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_con...ential_election

Rasmussen Markets data currently gives McCain a 46.4 % chance of winning Florida’s 27 Electoral College votes in November.

I'm happy. biggrin.gif




L-Rey-LA
And Obama campaign operation is strong in NV.

http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-na...0,2230544.story

QUOTE
In Nevada, Democrats are on a roll

Obama has built one of the most formidable political operations the state has ever seen, and party registration is up. Even so, the presidential race there remains a dead heat.

By Mark Z. Barabak, Los Angeles Times Staff Writer
September 30, 2008

RENO -- By just about any measure, now is a fine time to be a Democrat in Nevada.

Barack Obama has built one of the most formidable political operations the state has ever seen. Party registration is soaring. The Republican governor, Jim Gibbons, may be the most unpopular state executive in the country.


The economy, which thrived for decades, is in frightfully poor shape -- for months Nevada has led the nation in home foreclosures, and unemployment stands at a 23-year high -- handing Democrats a bludgeon with which to pound the GOP.

For all of that, however, the state's presidential race is a dead heat, making Nevada one of a dozen or so states that could decide the contest between Sen. John McCain and the senator from Illinois.

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