Doesn't sound right. Only time Hispanic vote approached 50% was when Bush ran on FEAR and "compassionate conservatism".
Excerpt from study:http://www.nclr.org/content/publications/download/46271
Hispanic Presidential Preference (1988-2004)
Year Source % Republican % Democrat % Other
2004 Bush Kerry Nader/Other
National Election Pool* 44 53 2
Los Angeles Times (LAT) 45 54 1
New York Times (NYT) 43 56 -
William C. Velasquez 31 68 1
Institute
2000 Bush Gore Nader/Other
VNS 35 62 3
LAT 38 61 1
NYT 31 67 2
1996 Dole Clinton Perot/Other
VNS 21 72 6
LAT 21 71 7
TRPI** 22 70 7
On December 3, 2004, NBC issued a statement lowering Bush’s share of the Hispanic vote to 40%, although NEP
data were not officially edited or modified (First Read - MSNBC.com, December 3, 2004. Available online at:
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6531105/). The precursor to NEP was the Voter News Service (VNS), which was
disbanded in 2003 after controversies over the 2000 and 2002 election results.